Sherrod was a bust at no fault of his own. That leg injury messed him up. But your point is still valid. There is a chart out there somewhere where someone did the percentages on players drafted in the 1st and their rate of success. I remember percentage wise OL taken in the 1st almost always at least became decent starters and a higher percentage versus other positions became pro bowl level players. Every team has their own way of doing things and even though Ron Wolf retired a long time ago they still follow a lot of the 'rules/guidelines' he established.

Although I don't think this is the article you meant, bmaafi, it does give some insight into the relative success drafting different positions.

https://www.arrowheadpride.com/2015/2/20/8072877/what-the-statistics-tell-us-about-the-draft-by-round**Here is a compact list.**The numbers show us the following outline for finding consistent starters:

1st Round - OL (83%) LB (70%) TE (67%) DB (64%) QB (63%) WR (58%) RB (58%) DL (58%)

2nd Round - OL (70%) LB (55%) TE (50%) WR (49%) DB (46%) QB (27%) DL (26%) RB (25%)

3rd Round - OL (40%) TE (39%) LB (34%) DL (27%) WR (25%) DB (24%) QB (17%) RB (16%)

4th Round - DL (37%) TE (33%) OL (29%) LB (16%) WR(12%) DB (11%) RB (11%) QB (8%)

5th Round - TE (32%) DB (17%) WR (16%) OL (16%) DL (13%) RB (9%) LB (4%) QB (0%)

6th Round - TE (26%) OL (16%) DL (13%) WR (9%) DB (8%) RB (6%) LB (5%) QB (0%)

7th Round - DB (11%) OL (9%) QB (6%) WR (5%) DL (3%) LB (2%) RB (0%) TE (0%)

The original breakdown of this (that I saw several years back) had some different numbers. I remember the QBs success rate in round one was less than 50% (maybe 47% ?).-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Here is an alternative breakdown.** It's origin is here:

https://digitalcommons.bryant.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1012&context=honors_economicsQuarterback- Quarterback provides significant value in the first round, but then experiences

by far the sharpest decline in value after the first round. In fact, all rounds provide less than

average value for the quarterback position (100) except round 1. If one is to draft a

quarterback, you should probably do so in the first round. This follows Miklasz theory on the

importance of drafting quarterbacks in round one.

Running back- Provides above average value in the first five rounds and below average in

the last two rounds. Running back also experiences sharp declines, but significant value can

still be acquired through round three. Running backs selected after round 3 are below average

running backs (value less than 125.4).

Wide Receiver- Provides below average value for all rounds except round two. It appears

this would be the optimal round to select a wide receiver.

Tight End- Only provides above average value in round three and five; this positionâ€™s

optimal draft rounds.

Center- The center position experiences no large drops in value and does not greatly differ

from the average value for all positions in any round. Thus, selecting a player from one round

to the next probably will not yield too great a difference. Since other positions do provide

greater benefit in the earlier rounds, the position of center should be selected later in the draft.

Guard- Should be selected in the later rounds, as it provides lesser value on average in the

first three rounds and above average value in the last four rounds. Guard is one of three

positions that you can draft that provides above average value for its position (87.62) after the

third round.

Tackle- Should be selected in the early rounds, as it provides greater value on average in the

first three rounds. A team should probably focus on the first two rounds, as there is a sharp

decline in value between round two and three. It seems as the best tackles are identified and

drafted early because of this sharp decline, and selecting tackles later in the draft is probably

not worth it.

Defensive End- Provides above average value in the middle three rounds, as well as the last

round. There is a sharp decline after round five, so drafting in rounds 3-5 would be optimal.

You can still draft an above average defensive end in the fourth round.

Defensive Tackle- Is similar to center in that it does not differ too greatly from the average in

any one round and there are no drastic declines in value from round to round. Thus, there is

no optimal drafting round.

Linebacker- Rates as above average in value for all rounds and does not experience large

fluctuations in value from round to round. The decline from round one to round two is the

greatest, but teams can still acquire above average value in later rounds, so no round should

be deemed optimal.

Defensive back- Does not provide above average value until the third round and therefore,

teams would benefit from selecting these players later in the draft.